Testing Romanovsky Roulette Method
It might not be the most well-known roulette betting system, but the Romanovsky system is popular nonetheless. This betting strategy was developed by a Russian gambler by the name of Igor Romanovsky. It was his belief that roulette players could increase their chances of winning by placing multiple bets on different parts of the table. Like many other popular roulette betting strategies, the Romanovsky method is quite simple and easy to understand. However, it differs from other systems in that the current move does not depend on the outcome of the previous round. This time we will test it for a long-term game, analyze the results and draw conclusions.
How the Romanovsky Strategy Works
Simply put, the Romanovsky system involves covering 32 of the 37 numbers on the roulette table. Doing this gives players an 86.48% chance of winning in any given round. Of course, those who employ this strategy don’t merely bet on each number straight-up. That’s not a winning approach. Instead, the player places three-unit bets on two of the Dozens columns and then one unit each on two non-overlapping corners of the remaining 12 numbers. Thus, six possible combinations are possible. This is illustrated below.
As you can see in the illustration, we wager $3 on two of the three Dozens columns and then cover two corners with $1 chips. Statistically speaking, it does not matter which 2 Dozens column or which two corners you stake; you will always have an 86.48% chance of winning. Let’s take a gander at the three possible outcomes of a round.
- Winning one of the corners. The probability of this is 21.62%, with the total profit being $1. This is because we bet a total of $8, by which we lose 2 Dozens at $3 each and 1 corner for $1.
- Winning one out of dozens. The probability of this is 64.86%. The total profit is also $1 as we lose one dozen at $3, along with two $1 corners.
- Not a single bet wins. The probability of this outcome is 13.52%. Loss - $8.
As you would expect, your base unit can be anything you want. We are just using a $1 base bet to keep it simple.
Let’s look at how this system works in action by using it for five fictitious rounds.
Against the odds, we swing and completely miss on our first set of bets. This leaves us $8 in the hole.
Our second spin is a little more successful as we nail one of the corners for a $1 gain. We are now down a total of $7.
We win a Dozens bet on our third spin to give us a $1 gain. We are now down $6.
We once again hit one of the Dozens bets netting us another $1 return. We are now down $5.
For our fifth and final bet, we end up hitting one of our corner bets for a $1 gain. We escape the five-spin experiment with a $4 loss.
Our Test of the Romanovsky Roulette System
Let's take Google Sheets as a testing tool. The mathematical model is based on three possible outcomes of each round. They are winning one of the dozens, winning one of the corners, and losing.
Each outcome has a certain probability which was already specified in the previous section. This makes it easy to calculate the payouts. So, let's take four players independently using the Romanovsky betting system and run them for 1000 moves. Each player will have a starting bankroll of $1,000, and the base bet unit is $1.
We simulated the algorithm and graphed the state of the bankroll after 1000 moves:
As you can clearly see, all three players saw their bankrolls gradually decrease over the course of their 1000 moves. The four players finished the game with the following bankrolls: $666, $666, $675, $756. Player #3 was the most successful, peaking at $1,032 on the move 88.
This would indicate that the Romanovsky strategy is not designed for a long-term game. Instead, it is better suited as a short-term plan. If the system makes a profit, then the player can either walk away with a gain or switch to a different longer-term strategy.
The Pitfalls of the Romanovsky Roulette Strategy
Like any other roulette betting strategy, the Romanovsky system does not guarantee a profit. In fact, our simulation shows that the longer you follow this algorithm during the game, the more likely you are to see a depletion of your bankroll.
In our opinion, you should not expect to encounter any special pitfalls or benefits here. Like any other betting strategy, you need to have a big enough bankroll to endure a losing streak. Let’s say you enter the game with a small bankroll of $10. If you whiff on the first round, then you no longer have enough bankroll to continue using the strategy. If you are planning to try this method out, then make sure your betting units are in line with your bankroll.
We have often heard and read statements like: “Look, the Romanovsky system works”. However, such statements cannot be sufficiently backed up as the math says otherwise. Above, we tested this system and clearly showed how the state of the bankroll changes throughout the game. Yes, the probability of winning is 86.48%, but the profit from each win will be minimal, while a loss results in an 8-unit decline.
The effectiveness of this strategy can be based on such a simple mathematical fact. If the probabilities of losing and winning are 13.6% and 86.4%, respectively, then we can expect to win 864 of every 1,000 rounds while losing 136 of them. As such, we can expect to lose more over the long haul.
The Romanovsky system allows you to get a little chin up in the short term. Therefore, we strongly recommend that you re-examine the results of our test and draw your own conclusion. Another suggestion would be to use a slightly higher base rate. This will make the game a little more dynamic and make the peaks more pronounced.